ForProphet
0streak0XP
Your learning path

Build market instincts.
One decision at a time.

Short games turn risk, charts, and performance into intuition you can actually use.

Continue · Percent beats dollars
0%path complete
Daily quest0 of 3 activities
SECTION 1
Build the base

Market Foundations

Returns, execution, and probability—the tools behind every later decision.

UNIT 1

Returns & Compounding

Measure growth and respect the cost of losses.

Guidebook
UNIT 2

Orders & Execution

Get from idea to fill without pretending markets stand still.

Guidebook
UNIT 3

Probability & Expected Value

Think in distributions, not promises.

Guidebook
game·35 XPFortune TellerPractice probabilistic judgment and confidence calibration.Ready
SECTION 2
Read without hallucinating

Reading Price

Use charts as probabilistic evidence, with regime and limitations attached.

UNIT 1

What TA Can and Cannot Do

Describe price behavior without pretending to know the future.

Guidebook
game·30 XPSignal or NoiseSeparate probabilistic evidence from chart storytelling.Ready
UNIT 2

Trend & Market Structure

Distinguish directional progress from busy movement.

Guidebook
UNIT 3

Moving Averages

Smooth price, understand lag, and survive the chop.

Guidebook
game·40 XPWhipsawExperience why one rule behaves differently across regimes.Ready
UNIT 4

Momentum / RSI

Read strength without turning 70 and 30 into magic numbers.

Guidebook
UNIT 5

Volume & Volatility

Measure participation and the size of normal movement.

Guidebook
SECTION 3
Stay in the game

Risk & Bet Sizing

Turn an edge into a survivable position rather than a heroic wager.

UNIT 1

Expectancy

Measure the edge before deciding the size.

Guidebook
UNIT 2

Risk of Ruin

Survive variance long enough for an edge to matter.

Guidebook
UNIT 3

Kelly Criterion

Convert edge and payoff into a growth-optimal fraction.

Guidebook
UNIT 4

Fractional Kelly

Trade some theoretical growth for robustness and sleep.

Guidebook
UNIT 5

Correlated Bets

Look through tickers to the risks they share.

Guidebook
SECTION 4
Interrogate the result

Measuring Performance

Separate luck, market exposure, smooth storytelling, and genuine skill.

UNIT 1

Benchmarks

Give every return claim a fair baseline.

Guidebook
game·35 XPFund Manager CourtroomChallenge absolute returns with a relevant comparison.Ready
UNIT 2

Volatility & Drawdowns

Judge the journey, not just the destination.

Guidebook
UNIT 3

Sharpe / Sortino

Compare return earned per unit of measured risk.

Guidebook
UNIT 4

Alpha, Beta & Hidden Risk

Ask whether skill is just repackaged exposure.

Guidebook
UNIT 5

Evaluating Fund Claims

Audit the data, process, comparison, and hidden assumptions.

Guidebook
game·50 XPBacktest DetectiveDetect information that leaked backward through time.Ready
V1 summitMarket judgment unlocked.

The path ends. The practice loop does not.